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Blinn College to host Texas post-primary election presentation

University of St. Thomas Professor Dr. Jon Taylor has been predicting election results at Blinn for more than a decade

March 21, 2018

Blinn College is inviting students and the community to talk politics.

University of St. Thomas Political Science Professor Dr. Jon Taylor will discuss the aftermath of the 2018 Texas primary elections, the winners and losers, and the ways in which the impact of President Donald Trump will likely make 2018 one of the most unique – and pivotal – midterm elections in decades.

Taylor’s presentation, entitled “The Trump Effect and the 2018 Midterm Election: Implications for Texas and the U.S.,” will begin at noon Monday, March 26, in the Brenham Campus Student Center Conference Room (map).

Taylor has made regular visits to Blinn College for more than a decade, providing students and campus visitors with an inside look at how predictive models are used to forecast presidential and other political elections.

Taylor holds a Ph.D. in political science from the University of Oklahoma and has worked at the University of St. Thomas since 1998. He regularly teaches public administration, public policy, political science statistics, and Chinese politics, and currently directs the Master of Public Policy and Administration Program at St. Thomas. This is his seventh appearance at the Blinn-Brenham Campus.

Taylor is a noted expert on campaigns, elections, and politics, as well as on Chinese politics and government. He has written numerous articles on topics ranging from measuring public corruption in China to election forecasting, and regularly contributes opinion and analysis pieces to both Chinese and U.S. media. He is a member of the Association of Chinese Political Studies, the American Political Science Association, the Chinese Public Administration Society, and the American Society for Public Administration.

He has been creating predictive election models since 2002, including predictive models for the Texas gubernatorial race since 2006, Congressional elections since 2008, and the Houston mayoral election since 2009. He began constructing his presidential election model during the 2000 election, and it has, on average, accurately predicted the results of each presidential election within a half percentage point of the actual outcome.